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# Survivorship Bias

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2026-07-11

Why People Insist That Typhoons Steer Clear of Putuoshan

There's a widely repeated claim — Putuoshan is protected by Guanyin, so typhoons always detour around it. Yet today, Typhoon No. 9 (Bavi) shut down Putuoshan's ferries, canceled 14 flights at its airport, and forced every fishing boat in the district to evacuate overnight; back in 2021, In-Fa flooded 6,000 meters of road across the Putuoshan-Zhujiajian area. Putuoshan is no typhoon-proof zone — it's getting hit today. So why do people still believe the Bodhisattva turns typhoons away? That misattribution — crediting mere "survival" to "mysterious protection" — is the exact same cognitive move as worshipping "great PMs as prophets." This piece takes it apart.

Why People Insist That Typhoons Steer Clear of Putuoshan